Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico ArnaboldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Guerrieri and Federico Arnaboldi have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Guerrieri leads 1–0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Arnaboldi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at Lexus Nottingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 42/58 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 21/80 | 32% | 19/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 28/47 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 47/47 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 42/47 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 1, Arnaboldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Andrea Guerrieri and Federico Arnaboldi are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Lexus Nottingham Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | +20.1% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.02u | -1.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Guerrieri has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Arnaboldi's 17%).
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 67 46 | L 63 36 16 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | W 76 75 | L 26 46 |
| Noah Boutleux | W 63 64 | W 61 61 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 26 76 | L 36 36 |
| Marvin Moeller | W 63 75 | L 67 26 |
| Alexander Donski | W 64 60 | L 36 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Daniil Glinka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Michele Ribecai
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Viktor Durasovic
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Olle Wallin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Federico Agustin Gomez
Umag
Jul 12
Luca Nardi
Umag
Jul 11
Hugo Dellien
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Peter Buldorini
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Salazar
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · Final
Jun 28
Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–80 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 58% |
| Sets won | 67% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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