Andrea De Marchi vs Sebastiano CocolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 21 · 2:35 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.28 or shorter, Andrea De Marchi has won 8 of 12 (67%). The price implied 79%, so Andrea De Marchi has fallen 12 points short of it.
At 3.40 or longer, Sebastiano Cocola has won 3 of 14 (21%). That is level with the 20% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Sebastiano Cocola and Andrea De Marchi meet in the first round of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on September 21. The two have never played each other. Cocola, ranked 1137, comes off a loss after playing five matches in fourteen days. De Marchi, ranked 652, also lost his most recent outing but played four matches in the same span.
On clay, De Marchi has a 14-6 record (70%) while Cocola sits at 12-8 (60%). The pair share mixed results against common opponents; De Marchi beat Samir Hamza Reguig while Cocola fell to him, though both lost to Andrey Chepelev and Lorenzo Comino. Over his last five matches, Cocola has won four; De Marchi has won three of five.
Cocola relies on consistency and defense to wear down opponents from the baseline. De Marchi plays with aggression and intensity, aiming to dictate points early. The clay surface typically rewards patience and court coverage, which suits Cocola's methods, though De Marchi's recent clay form is strong. De Marchi must sustain his attacking rhythm without overcommitting; Cocola must use his steady presence to frustrate the more aggressive approach.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | De Marchi | Cocola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea De Marchi | Sebastiano Cocola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 21% | 4/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 22/60 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Cocola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 418 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Marchi and Cocola have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marchi | Cocola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea De Marchi | Sebastiano Cocola | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 19/26 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 3/26 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/26 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchi | Cocola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–8 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +1.4% | +32.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.35u | +3.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marchi | Cocola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → SLO → ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Marchi and Cocola posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Marchi | Cocola |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Chepelev | L 62 57 16 | L 36 16 |
| Lefteri Apostolou | W 61 64 | W 60 60 |
| Mattias Pisanu | W 62 62 | W 76 60 |
| Lorenzo Comino | L 26 75 26 | L 26 67 |
| Nikola Jovic | W 60 61 | W 63 57 60 |
| Giannicola Misasi | W 76 61 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 18
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Marcello Serafini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Norbert Gombos
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Mattias Pisanu
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Nicolas Parizzia
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Louis Wessels
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Paolo Emilio Cossu Floris
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Lorenzo Comino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Rayan Sajjid Koothrat
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–60 matches
| Metric | Marchi | Cocola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 49% |
| Sets won | 61% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |