Andrea De Marchi vs Federico ArnaboldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea De Marchi and Federico Arnaboldi have met 1 time since 2026; Federico Arnaboldi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marchi has taken 1 sets to Arnaboldi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Federico Arnaboldi won at Palermo Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | De Marchi | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea De Marchi | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 36% | 26/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 80% | 32/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 68% | 27/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (De Marchi 0, Arnaboldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federico Arnaboldi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
Palermo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marchi | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea De Marchi | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.54u | -4.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 462 mi · 744 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arnaboldi's 33%).
| Opponent | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriele Crivellaro | W 67 61 61 | L 63 16 67 |
| Francesco Forti | W | L 63 36 16 |
| Fausto Tabacco | W 75 63 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Arnaboldi
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 24
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 18
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Marcello Serafini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrea De Marchi
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Massimo Giunta
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Iannaccone
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Florian Broska
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Maximilian Marterer
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–72 matches
| Metric | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 56% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marchi | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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