Anastasia Potapova vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Potapova
#26 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ2

๐ซ๐ทVarvara Gracheva
#172 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
30wAnastasia Potapova and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at European Open - Hamburg in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at China Open - Beijing (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
๐ The Complete Package
Gracheva
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 18, 2022
European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | - |
| ROI % | +19.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gracheva's 0%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | L 36 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 57 26 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 76 60 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 19โ48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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