Anastasia Potapova vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wAnastasia Potapova and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at European Open - Hamburg in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at China Open - Beijing (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 18, 2022
European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | - |
| ROI % | -47.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Gracheva's 17%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | L 36 16 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | L 67 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 57 26 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 76 60 | L 26 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | W 62 26 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–41 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 38% |
| Sets won | 58% | 36% |
| Games won | 53% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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