Anastasia Potapova vs Kimberly BirrellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇦🇺Kimberly Birrell
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
TitleAnastasia Potapova and Kimberly Birrell have met 3 times since 2025; Kimberly Birrell leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Birrell leads 3–0. Birrell has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 1 sets to Birrell's 6. Their most recent meeting: Kimberly Birrell won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Birrell 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Birrell
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 19, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 2, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +0.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Birrell's 50%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Maya Joint | W 61 62 | W 64 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 75 | L 16 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | L 16 62 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | L 36 46 |
| Katie Boulter | W 57 64 62 | L 57 67 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | W 16 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 46 64 62 | W 16 61 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 16 26 |
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | W 64 60 |
| Ella Seidel | L 46 36 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aoi Ito
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · Final
Sep 27
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Tamara Zidansek
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–63 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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