Anastasia Potapova vs Dayana YastremskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊAnastasia Potapova
#26 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπ¦Dayana Yastremska
#103 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Dayana Yastremska have met 3 times since 2025; Anastasia Potapova leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 4 sets to Yastremska's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Yastremska 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
π The Complete Package
Yastremska
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2025
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β4 | 2β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | -14.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -0.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Yastremska's 0%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Sinja Kraus | L | L 16 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | L 16 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 62 | L 64 46 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 36 16 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | L 36 76 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | L 36 06 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 76 26 36 | L 57 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 75 26 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | L 64 57 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 46 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 45% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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