Anastasia Gasanova vs Matilde JorgePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Gasanova
#182 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐ต๐นMatilde Jorge
#245 ยท 22 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4Anastasia Gasanova and Matilde Jorge have met 3 times since 2026; Matilde Jorge leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at W50 Leiria in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Jorge leads 2โ1. Jorge has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Jorge leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Gasanova has taken 3 sets to Jorge's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matilde Jorge won at Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gasanova | Jorge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Gasanova | Matilde Jorge | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 23/36 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 25% | 16/65 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gasanova 1, Jorge 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gasanova
๐ช Counterpuncher
Jorge
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The ๐น Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matilde Jorge.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 13, 2026
W50 Evora
H Hard ยท Final
Sep 3, 2026
W50 Leiria
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gasanova | Jorge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Gasanova | Matilde Jorge | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -24.4% | +24.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.41u | +3.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,455 mi ยท 3,951 km | โ |
| Route | GEO โ EST โ GER | GEO โ EGY โ ECU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Jorge has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gasanova's 60%).
| Opponent | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Sofia Johnson | L 36 46 | W 61 16 63 |
| Francisca Jorge | W 62 61 | L 36 26 |
| Greet Minnen | L 36 57 | W |
| Isis Louise Van Den Broek | W 62 64 | W 62 75 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | W 26 61 76 | W 60 75 |
| Mary Stoiana | L 61 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Vivian Wolff | W 76 16 61 | W 46 62 62 |
| Hibah Shaikh | W 60 62 | W 61 63 |
| Kaitlin Quevedo | W 76 63 | W 75 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Viktoria Hruncakova
Adana Open - Adana ยท 1st Round
Sep 28
Deniz Dilek
Ankara Open - Ankara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Carole Monnet
Ankara Open - Ankara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Tikhonova
Ankara Open - Ankara ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Matilde Jorge
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora ยท Final
Sep 13
Aoi Ito
W50 Evora ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Francisca Jorge
W50 Evora ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Elena Malygina
W75 Quinta do Lago ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Sinja Kraus
Eupago Porto Open - Porto ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Eupago Porto Open - Porto ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Mia Pohankova
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Anastasia Gasanova
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora ยท Final
Sep 13
Sofia Johnson
W50 Evora ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Katie Swan
W50 Evora ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ65 matches
| Metric | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W50 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gasanova | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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