Ana Candiotto vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Ana Candiotto
#545 · 22 yrs
41 meeting · sets 2–1
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#843 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAna Candiotto and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Ana Candiotto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Candiotto has taken 2 sets to Arias's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ana Candiotto won at W15 Rio Claro (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Candiotto | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ana Candiotto | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 10% | 3/29 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 13/65 | 24% | 8/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 6/24 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 88% | 7/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Candiotto 0, Mediorreal Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Candiotto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,088 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ana Candiotto.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
W15 Rio Claro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Candiotto | Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ana Candiotto | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.53 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | -12.9% | -57.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.81u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Candiotto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Arias's 17%).
| Opponent | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | L 36 36 | L 26 06 |
| Lourdes Ayala | W 62 75 | L 46 26 |
| Daria Egorova | L 26 26 | L 06 26 |
| Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto | W 61 64 | L 16 36 |
| Camila Romero | L 46 26 | W 67 61 64 |
| Carmen Lopez Martinez | L 36 16 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pia Lovric
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Valentina Ivanov
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Cadence Brace
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho · Final
Sep 6
Maayan Laron
W15 Porto Velho · Semifinals
Sep 5
Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe
W15 Porto Velho · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Sabrina Dos Reis
W15 Porto Velho · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Cadence Brace
W35 Barueri · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W35 Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–65 matches
| Metric | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 27% |
| Sets won | 52% | 31% |
| Games won | 50% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Candiotto | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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