Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Maria Sara PopaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Amarissa Kiara Toth and Maria Sara Popa have met 1 time since 2026; Maria Sara Popa leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sara Popa won at Axeria Open - Targu Mures (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kiara Toth | Sara Popa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amarissa Kiara Toth | Maria Sara Popa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 85% | 35/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 16/41 | 23% | 15/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 95% | 39/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 85% | 35/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Toth
⚔️ The Gladiator
Popa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
Axeria Open - Targu Mures
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Toth | Popa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amarissa Kiara Toth | Maria Sara Popa | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Toth | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 7–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | -71.5% | +18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.86u | +1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Toth's 33%).
| Opponent | Toth | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Raluka Serban | W | W 75 36 64 |
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | L 63 46 26 | W 76 64 |
| Andreea Prisacariu | L 67 63 57 | L 63 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Kuczer
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round
Sep 14
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Sep 2
Pia Lovric
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Eleonora Alvisi
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 25
Maria Sara Popa
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Jennifer Ruggeri
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 20
Raluka Serban
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Daria Kuczer
W50 Gdansk · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Georgia Andreea Craciun
W15 Brasov · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Simona Ogescu
W15 Brasov · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Rachel Gailis
W15 Brasov · 1st Round
Aug 26
Adrienn Nagy
W35 Bistrita · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Bistrita · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Stefania Bojica
W35 Bistrita · 1st Round
Aug 19
Ida Wobker
W15 Bucharest · Final
Aug 16
Diana Ioana Simionescu
W15 Bucharest · Semifinals
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–64 matches
| Metric | Toth | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 64% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Toth | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Toth | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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