Alisa Oktiabreva vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Alisa Oktiabreva
#311 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
14Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#718 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Alisa Oktiabreva and Matilde Paoletti have met 1 time since 2026; Alisa Oktiabreva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Oktiabreva has taken 2 sets to Paoletti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alisa Oktiabreva won at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Oktiabreva | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alisa Oktiabreva | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 20/26 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 9/32 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 90% | 9/10 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 23/23 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Oktiabreva 1, Paoletti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Oktiabreva
⚔️ The Gladiator
Paoletti
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Alisa Oktiabreva and Matilde Paoletti are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,502 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 18, 2026
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Oktiabreva | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alisa Oktiabreva | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–1 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +5.4% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.76u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → BIH → GER | GER → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Oktiabreva and Paoletti posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Yesypchuk | W 62 61 | W 57 63 64 |
| Diletta Cherubini | W 46 76 60 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuria Brancaccio
W50 Heraklion · Semifinals
Oct 10
Francesca Curmi
W50 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Lola Giza
W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round
Oct 8
Unknown Player
W50 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alena Kovackova
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Sep 27
Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 26
Tena Lukas
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Eva Bennemann
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Maria Toma
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–32 matches
| Metric | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 61% |
| Sets won | 75% | 59% |
| Games won | 60% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Oktiabreva | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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