Alina Shcherbinina vs Nanari KatsumiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Shcherbinina and Nanari Katsumi have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Shcherbinina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Katsumi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alina Shcherbinina won at W15 Irvine (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Katsumi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Nanari Katsumi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 16% | 3/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 10/30 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 1, Katsumi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Katsumi
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 67% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,770 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
W15 Irvine
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shcherbinina | Katsumi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Shcherbinina | Nanari Katsumi | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 16/24 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Katsumi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 24–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 3.85 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.95u | -0.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Katsumi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Hanna Chang
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hanna Chang
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Dana Guzman
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jia Jing Lu
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jiaxi Lu
Dallas 2 ITF · Round of 16
Jul 16
Kira Matushkina
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Sarah Mildren
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Stefani Webb
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Ya Yi Yang
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lily Fairclough
Rome ITF
Jun 22
Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 16
Eri Shimizu
W15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Stefani Webb
W15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Fukui · 1st Round
May 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–30 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Katsumi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 37% |
| Sets won | 73% | 37% |
| Games won | 60% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Katsumi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Katsumi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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