Alina Shcherbinina vs Midori Castillo MezaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Shcherbinina and Midori Castillo Meza have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Shcherbinina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Meza's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alina Shcherbinina won at W15 Irvine (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Castillo Meza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Midori Castillo Meza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 6% | 1/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 10/30 | 7% | 2/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 100% | 11/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 91% | 10/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 1, Castillo Meza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Meza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 67% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,770 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
W15 Irvine
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shcherbinina | Meza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Shcherbinina | Midori Castillo Meza | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 16/24 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 24–4 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | +6.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.95u | +0.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shcherbinina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Meza's 40%).
| Opponent | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Jo Yee Chan | W 36 75 64 | L 46 16 |
| Alyssa Ahn | W 60 63 | L 26 46 |
| Kingsley Wolf | W 61 61 | W 62 75 |
| Isabella Marton | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | L 67 60 16 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Hanna Chang
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hanna Chang
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Dana Guzman
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jia Jing Lu
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jiaxi Lu
Dallas 2 ITF · Round of 16
Jul 16
Kira Matushkina
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jo Yee Chan
W15 San Diego · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jessica Bernales
W15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jul 1
Alyssa Ahn
W15 Claremont · Semifinals
Jun 27
Amy Zhu
W15 Claremont · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Kelly Keller
W15 Claremont · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Ingrid Carolina Millan
W15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Irvine · Semifinals
Jun 20
Alexis Nguyen
W15 Irvine · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–30 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 39% |
| Sets won | 73% | 40% |
| Games won | 60% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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