Alina Shcherbinina vs Midori Castillo MezaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Shcherbinina and Midori Castillo Meza have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Shcherbinina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Meza's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alina Shcherbinina won at W15 Irvine (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Castillo Meza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Midori Castillo Meza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 9% | 2/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/38 | 10% | 4/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 20/33 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 12% | 2/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 1, Castillo Meza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
👑 The Complete Package
Meza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 741 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
W15 Irvine
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | UKR → PER → EGY |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shcherbinina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Meza's 40%).
| Opponent | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Jo Yee Chan | W 36 75 64 | L 46 16 |
| Alyssa Ahn | W 60 63 | L 26 46 |
| Kingsley Wolf | W 61 61 | W 62 75 |
| Salma Ewing | W 62 62 | L 67 06 |
| Isabella Marton | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristina Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kailey Evans
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hanna Chang
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Berta Passola
W50 Berkeley · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Krisha Mahendran
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Jensen Diianni
W35 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Tereza Krejcova
W35 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Zi Ying Ruan
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 1
Lan Mi
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jo Yee Chan
W15 San Diego · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jessica Bernales
W15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jul 1
Alyssa Ahn
W15 Claremont · Semifinals
Jun 27
Amy Zhu
W15 Claremont · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Kelly Keller
W15 Claremont · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–41 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 46% |
| Sets won | 70% | 47% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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