Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn CarnicellaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Shcherbinina and Kaitlyn Carnicella have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Shcherbinina leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shcherbinina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Carnicella's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alina Shcherbinina won at Rolling Hills Estates ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Carnicella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Kaitlyn Carnicella | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/38 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 20/33 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 0, Carnicella 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
👑 The Complete Package
Carnicella
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🧱 The Wall across 961 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | - |
| ROI % | -25.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Shcherbinina and Carnicella posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Veronica Miroshnichenko | L 36 46 | W 46 75 63 |
| Monika Ekstrand | W 62 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristina Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kailey Evans
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hanna Chang
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Berta Passola
W50 Berkeley · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Krisha Mahendran
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Jensen Diianni
W35 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Monika Ekstrand
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Veronica Miroshnichenko
Irvine ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Maria Aytoyan
Irvine ITF · Round of 16
Jun 18
Alina Shcherbinina
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Final
Jun 14
Monika Ekstrand
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Semifinals
Jun 13
Lily Taylor
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rachel Gailis
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Salma Ziouti
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–38 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 67% |
| Sets won | 70% | 63% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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