Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn CarnicellaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Shcherbinina and Kaitlyn Carnicella have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Shcherbinina leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shcherbinina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Carnicella's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alina Shcherbinina won at Rolling Hills Estates ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Carnicella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Kaitlyn Carnicella | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 10/30 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 0, Carnicella 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carnicella
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shcherbinina | Carnicella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Shcherbinina | Kaitlyn Carnicella | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 16/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 24–4 | 8–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | +58.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.95u | +6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Shcherbinina and Carnicella posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Veronica Miroshnichenko | L 36 46 | W 46 75 63 |
| Monika Ekstrand | W 62 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Hanna Chang
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hanna Chang
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Dana Guzman
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jia Jing Lu
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jiaxi Lu
Dallas 2 ITF · Round of 16
Jul 16
Kira Matushkina
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Monika Ekstrand
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Veronica Miroshnichenko
Irvine ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Maria Aytoyan
Irvine ITF · Round of 16
Jun 18
Alina Shcherbinina
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Final
Jun 14
Monika Ekstrand
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Semifinals
Jun 13
Lily Taylor
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rachel Gailis
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Salma Ziouti
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–30 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 67% |
| Sets won | 73% | 63% |
| Games won | 60% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Carnicella |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.