Alina Shcherbinina vs Hanna ChangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Alina Shcherbinina
#570 · 22 yrs
4w2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇸Hanna Chang
#295 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4wAlina Shcherbinina and Hanna Chang have met 2 times since 2026; Hanna Chang leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W35 Dallas in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Chang leads 2–0. Chang has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Chang leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 1 sets to Chang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hanna Chang won at W75 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Chang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Hanna Chang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 10/30 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 0, Chang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Chang
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hanna Chang.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
W75 Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 19, 2026
W35 Dallas
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shcherbinina | Chang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Shcherbinina | Hanna Chang | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 16/24 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 24–4 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | -3.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.95u | -0.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Hanna Chang
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hanna Chang
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Dana Guzman
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jia Jing Lu
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jiaxi Lu
Dallas 2 ITF · Round of 16
Jul 16
Kira Matushkina
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jantje Tilbuerger
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Alina Shcherbinina
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Lexington Reed
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Christasha Mcneil
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Liv Hovde
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–55 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 60% |
| Sets won | 73% | 60% |
| Games won | 60% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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