Alina Shcherbinina vs Hanna ChangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Alina Shcherbinina
#533 · 22 yrs
33 meetings · sets 2–6
🇺🇸Hanna Chang
#289 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Alina Shcherbinina and Hanna Chang have met 3 times since 2026; Hanna Chang leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at W35 Dallas in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Chang leads 3–0. Chang has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Chang leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shcherbinina has taken 2 sets to Chang's 6. Their most recent meeting: Hanna Chang won at W50 Berkeley (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shcherbinina | Chang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Shcherbinina | Hanna Chang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/38 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 20/33 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shcherbinina 0, Chang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shcherbinina
👑 The Complete Package
Chang
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Shcherbinina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
W50 Berkeley
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2026
W75 Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 19, 2026
W35 Dallas
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shcherbinina | Chang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Shcherbinina | Hanna Chang | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | +1.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +0.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | USA → TUR → BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shcherbinina's 50%).
| Opponent | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Kailey Evans | L 26 46 | W 75 36 61 |
| Kingsley Wolf | W 61 61 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristina Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kailey Evans
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hanna Chang
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Berta Passola
W50 Berkeley · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Krisha Mahendran
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Carson Tanguilig
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Jensen Diianni
W35 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mary Stoiana
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kailey Evans
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Dalayna Hewitt
W100 Landisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–56 matches
| Metric | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 64% |
| Sets won | 70% | 62% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shcherbinina | Chang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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