Alina Nesmianovych vs Kim ChiarelloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W15 Paris
- Level
- ITF W15
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 8:25 AM ET
- Weather
- 🌧️ 7°C · Light drizzle · 8 km/h
Book odds
Alina Nesmianovych meets Kim Chiarello in first round qualifying of the W15 Paris hard court event on November 8. Neither player carries a ranking. Nesmianovych is coming off a loss and played twice in the past two weeks; Chiarello has not competed in 21 days.
The two have no head-to-head history. Kim Chiarello has won 6 of her last 10 matches and 3 of her last 5, though she is on a two-match losing streak. Alina Nesmianovych won 6 of her last 10 but has gone 2-3 over her past five. Both players recently faced Zhitong Chen; Chiarello won that match while Nesmianovych lost.
Both operate with well-rounded games built on multiple strengths rather than one dominant weapon. On hard courts, Nesmianovych has posted a 47% record in a recent sample while Chiarello sits at 53%, reflecting different conversion rates on the surface. Nesmianovych will need to dictate through depth and court position; Chiarello must maintain consistency and keep unforced errors low to control rallies.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nesmianovych | Chiarello | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Nesmianovych | Kim Chiarello | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 8/21 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nesmianovych
👑 The Complete Package
Chiarello
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Alina Nesmianovych and Kim Chiarello are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,366 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Nesmianovych and Chiarello have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nesmianovych | Chiarello | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Nesmianovych | Kim Chiarello | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nesmianovych | Chiarello |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.10 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +30.9% | -25.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.40u | -2.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nesmianovych | Chiarello |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → USA | MKD → USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chiarello has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nesmianovych's 0%).
| Opponent | Nesmianovych | Chiarello |
|---|---|---|
| Lara Wasserfuhr | L 26 36 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lara Wasserfuhr
W15 Essen · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Josephine Pasiut
W15 Essen · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Eva Iurina
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Alexia Paula Bastos Sousa Betanzos
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luisa Schruff
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Valeria Ifodi
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Sada Nahimana
W35 Reims · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Sara Cakarevic
W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Amandine Monnot
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Marie Villet
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round
Oct 6
Heerae Im
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Anna Brunet Brady
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims · 1st Round
Sep 30
Meline Lataste
W35 Reims · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Severine Deppner
W35 Reims · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–21 matches
| Metric | Nesmianovych | Chiarello |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 42% |
| Sets won | 54% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |