Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi YouPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Charaeva and Xiaodi You have met 2 times since 2026; Alina Charaeva leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dow Tennis Classic - Midland in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Charaeva leads 2–0. Charaeva has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Charaeva has taken 4 sets to You's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alina Charaeva won at SP Open - Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Charaeva | You | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Charaeva | Xiaodi You | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 23/36 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 27/37 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 52% | 16/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Charaeva 1, You 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Charaeva
👑 The Complete Package
You
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Charaeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
SP Open - Sao Paulo
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2026
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Charaeva | You | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Charaeva | Xiaodi You | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.83 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | +81.1% | -55.5% |
| Units P/L | +12.16u | -4.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Charaeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs You's 60%).
| Opponent | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 16 62 46 | L 36 26 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 75 36 76 | L 63 26 06 |
| Jessica Pieri | W 61 61 | W 61 46 76 |
| Lia Karatancheva | W 62 64 | W 62 63 |
| Shilin Xu | W 60 64 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Elena Rybakina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yuliia Starodubtseva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sofia Kenin
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Elina Avanesyan
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marina Bassols Ribera
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yiming Dang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alina Charaeva
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Victoria Bosio
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Luiza Fullana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–63 matches
| Metric | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 48% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Charaeva | You |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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