Alina Charaeva vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 2:50 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.33 or longer, Alina Charaeva has won 12 of 28 (43%). The price implied 35%, so Alina Charaeva has beaten it by 8 points.
At 1.62 or shorter, Sonay Kartal has won 23 of 30 (77%). The price implied 67%, so Sonay Kartal has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alina Charaeva meets Sonay Kartal in the 3rd Round of the China Open in Beijing on October 5, with both players ranked outside the top 100 and seeking to extend their runs on hard court. Charaeva sits at 118 in the world; Kartal at 129. Both have won their opening matches to reach this stage.
The two have never played. Charaeva has won three of her last five matches overall, while Sonay Kartal has won four of five, extending a two-match winning streak into Beijing. On hard court, both players hold identical recent records at 14-6, with a 70% conversion rate. Against common opponents, the results split unevenly: Charaeva beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elena Rybakina but lost to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, Daria Kasatkina, and Diane Parry. Kartal went the opposite direction, falling to Sasnovich and Rybakina while defeating the other three.
Charaeva is a versatile player who constructs points from multiple positions and surfaces. Sonay Kartal relies on power, particularly through her groundstrokes. On a hard court that favors pace, Kartal's aggressive ball-striking plays naturally to the surface. Charaeva will need to control depth and variety to disrupt Kartal's rhythm and avoid getting caught in extended baseline exchanges where the bigger hitter typically thrives.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Charaeva | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Charaeva | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 23/61 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 25/35 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 100% | 14/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 79% | 11/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Charaeva
👑 The Complete Package
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,454 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Charaeva and Kartal have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.67 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +73.7% | +55.5% |
| Units P/L | +11.05u | +1.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Charaeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Kartal's 50%).
| Opponent | Charaeva | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | W 36 64 63 | L |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 75 62 | W 64 60 |
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | L 16 16 | W 62 63 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 64 60 | L 06 26 |
| Janice Tjen | L 46 26 | W 61 67 63 |
| Jessica Pieri | W 61 61 | W 61 60 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 57 36 | L 67 61 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yuliia Starodubtseva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sofia Kenin
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Elina Avanesyan
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Xiaodi You
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Susan Bandecchi
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Xin Yu Wang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 4th Round
Mar 11
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Storm Hunter
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–61 matches
| Metric | Charaeva | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 71% |
| Sets won | 55% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |