Alina Charaeva vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Korea Open - Seoul
- Level
- WTA 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 20 · 9:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.87 or shorter, Alina Charaeva has won 11 of 22 (50%). The price implied 56%, so Alina Charaeva has fallen 6 points short of it.
At 1.87 or shorter, Sofia Kenin has won 62 of 126 (49%). The price implied 57%, so Sofia Kenin has fallen 8 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Sofia Kenin meets Alina Charaeva in the 1st Round of the Korea Open on September 20 on hard court. Kenin, ranked 100th, has not faced Charaeva before. Charaeva sits at 133rd and has played three matches in the past two weeks.
Kenin has won two of her last five matches but only one of her last ten; she has not played in 18 days. Charaeva has also won two of five recently, though her form over ten matches stands at five wins and five losses. The two split results against common opponent Polina Kudermetova, with Kenin defeating her while Charaeva lost.
Kenin constructs points from the baseline and relies on depth and consistency to control rallies. Charaeva brings a more complete toolkit across the court. On hard courts, Kenin has converted only 30% of her matches into wins, while Charaeva has won 55%. The match will test whether Kenin can manage Charaeva's versatility from the baseline or whether Charaeva's recent hard court form and match sharpness prove decisive.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Charaeva | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Charaeva | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 42% | 16/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 13/28 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 44% | 7/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Charaeva
👑 The Complete Package
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 423 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Charaeva and Kenin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Charaeva | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Charaeva | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 4.19 |
| ROI % | -6.1% | -32.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 4,776 mi · 7,686 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | NED → BRA | NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kenin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Charaeva's 0%).
| Opponent | Charaeva | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | L 46 57 | L 63 16 36 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 46 57 | L 57 61 26 |
| Polina Kudermetova | L 64 46 16 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Elina Avanesyan
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Xiaodi You
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Susan Bandecchi
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rebecca Marino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Sinja Kraus
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–59 matches
| Metric | Charaeva | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 32% |
| Sets won | 55% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 45% |