Alina Charaeva vs Rebecca MarinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ท๐บAlina Charaeva
#98 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
51 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐จ๐ฆRebecca Marino
#621 ยท 35 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7wAlina Charaeva and Rebecca Marino have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Charaeva leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Charaeva has taken 2 sets to Marino's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alina Charaeva won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Charaeva | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Charaeva | Rebecca Marino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 23/36 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 8% | 1/12 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 27/37 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Charaeva 1, Marino 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Charaeva
๐ The Complete Package
Marino
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Charaeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Charaeva | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Charaeva | Rebecca Marino | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ6 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.83 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | +81.1% | -54.4% |
| Units P/L | +12.16u | -2.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 9 | โ |
| Distance | 11,989 mi ยท 19,294 km | โ |
| Route | BRA โ POR โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Charaeva and Marino posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | W 75 36 76 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Elena Rybakina
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yuliia Starodubtseva
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sofia Kenin
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Elina Avanesyan
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elena Pridankina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Fiona Ferro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Alina Charaeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Kylie Collins
W75 Granby ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Granby ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 12โ63 matches
| Metric | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Charaeva | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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