Alice Tubello vs Martha MatoulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Heraklion
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.29 or shorter, Alice Tubello has won 23 of 28 (82%). That is level with the 80% the price implied.
At 3.35 or longer, Martha Matoula has won 4 of 12 (33%). The price implied 22%, so Martha Matoula has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martha Matoula meets Alice Tubello in the quarterfinals of the W50 Heraklion on October 9 on clay. Matoula, ranked 290, has won two straight matches with three wins in her last five. Tubello, ranked 228, has also won two straight and sits at 3-2 over the same span. Both players have competed twice in the past fortnight.
Tubello leads their head-to-head record, 1-0. Common opponents reveal split results: Tubello defeated Alessandra Mazzola and Nahia Berecoechea while Matoula beat Elena Pridankina and I Wen Wan; Tubello lost to both Pridankina and Wen Wan, while Matoula fell to Mazzola and Berecoechea.
On clay, both players have posted identical records over their recent sample: 13 wins and 7 losses. Matoula is an aggressive baseline player who pressures opponents through heavy ball-striking and sustained intensity. Alice Tubello plays as a counterpuncher, relying on timing and angles to disrupt rhythm and convert opportunities off the rebound. The match will test whether Matoula's aggression can dictate points or if Tubello's reactive game can neutralize and turn defense into offense.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tubello | Matoula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alice Tubello | Martha Matoula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 71% | 32/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 12/23 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/66 | 32% | 24/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 24/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 14/20 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 9/12 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 93% | 39/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 76% | 32/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tubello
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matoula
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,923 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Tubello and Matoula have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tubello | Matoula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alice Tubello | Martha Matoula | ||
| 1 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tubello | Matoula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +1.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.08u | +0.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tubello | Matoula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → SRB → GER | POL → KAZ → GER |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tubello has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Matoula's 30%).
| Opponent | Tubello | Matoula |
|---|---|---|
| Nahia Berecoechea | W 16 63 61 | L 57 64 46 |
| Gabriela Ce | L 46 60 36 | L 26 26 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | L 63 67 26 | W 62 61 |
| Lisa Pigato | W 63 75 | L 16 06 |
| Julie Struplova | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Pridankina | L 26 06 | W 62 60 |
| Lola Radivojevic | W 61 26 63 | L 64 36 16 |
| Sada Nahimana | W 61 63 | L 62 46 46 |
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | W 62 62 | L 46 64 26 |
| Alessandra Mazzola | W 63 46 63 | L 46 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Vittoria Paganetti
W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round
Oct 8
Helena Muzinic
W50 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 6
Julia Grabher
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Dalila Spiteri
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samira De Stefano
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Dalma Galfi
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Vivian Wolff
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Barbora Palicova
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round
Oct 8
Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Nahia Berecoechea
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 22
Veronika Podrez
W75 Le Neubourg · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Mathilde Lollia
W75 Le Neubourg · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Anastasiia Firman
W75 Le Neubourg · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Danka Kovinic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–74 matches
| Metric | Tubello | Matoula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 61% |
| Sets won | 64% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |