Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.26 or shorter, Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 23 of 25 (92%). The price implied 82%, so Aliaksandra Sasnovich has beaten it by 10 points.
At 3.77 or longer, Varvara Lepchenko has won 5 of 26 (19%). That is level with the 21% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Varvara Lepchenko meet next at the China Open - Beijing on September 29 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 38% | 22/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 16/35 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 3/11 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 20/31 | 52% | 15/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
💥 Big Hitter
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Varvara Lepchenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,592 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sasnovich and Lepchenko have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -27.9% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.51u | -3.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 9,539 mi · 15,351 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ITA → UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sasnovich has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Lepchenko's 0%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Emiliana Arango | L 63 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Paula Badosa | L 57 36 | L 57 67 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 60 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Daria Kasatkina
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Vendula Valdmannova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Dalma Galfi
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ulrikke Eikeri
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katrina Scott
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 7
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alina Korneeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Emerson Jones
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–58 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 47% |
| Sets won | 52% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |