Alexis Galarneau vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Pavel Kotov have met 2 times since 2025; Pavel Kotov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Kotov leads 2–0. Kotov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 2 sets to Kotov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Shanghai Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 17/39 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 0, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 17, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.35u | +3.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 11 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Galarneau's 44%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 67 67 | W 63 63 |
| Elias Ymer | W 75 76 | W 36 63 76 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | W 61 76 |
| Fajing Sun | L 57 63 57 | W 76 36 63 |
| Keegan Smith | W 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jie Cui | L 46 26 | L 26 63 46 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 36 | W 64 76 |
| Borna Gojo | L 16 46 | W 64 36 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 76 64 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–71 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 73% |
| Sets won | 54% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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