Alexis Galarneau vs Liam DraxlPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Liam Draxl have met 3 times since 2025; Liam Draxl leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 3 Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Draxl leads 2–0. Draxl has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 3 sets to Draxl's 6. Their most recent meeting: Liam Draxl won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Liam Draxl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 56% | 23/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 13/32 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 29/72 | 40% | 27/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 17/40 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 61% | 23/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 0, Draxl 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Draxl
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexis Galarneau.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 29, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 18, 2025
Granby Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2025
Oeiras 3 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Liam Draxl | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -33.5% | +8.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.02u | +1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 6,592 mi · 10,609 km |
| Route | CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Draxl has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Galarneau's 44%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L 46 63 46 | W 75 64 |
| Henry Searle | L 57 63 16 | L 67 62 46 |
| Jack Kennedy | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Andy Andrade | W 57 75 64 | L 26 36 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 36 | W 75 16 64 |
| Daniel Milavsky | W 63 62 | W 75 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 76 67 | L 46 46 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 46 63 64 | W 67 64 76 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | L 46 26 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
You Du
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Hugo Gaston
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jack Kennedy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–72 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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