Alexis Galarneau vs Keegan SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Keegan Smith have met 1 time since 2026; Alexis Galarneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 2 sets to Smith's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexis Galarneau won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Keegan Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 68% | 40/59 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 37% | 35/94 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 17/39 | 53% | 29/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 46% | 23/50 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 80% | 49/61 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 66% | 40/61 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 1, Smith 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Keegan Smith | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -34.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.35u | -3.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | CHN | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galarneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Smith's 50%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Winter | W 57 75 75 | W 63 46 62 |
| Pavel Kotov | L 63 16 16 | L 46 46 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 26 36 | L 64 57 46 |
| Luka Pavlovic | L 67 64 67 | L 26 67 |
| Tyler Zink | W 61 57 76 | W 63 67 76 |
| Daniel Milavsky | W 63 62 | L 36 57 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 46 64 76 | W 61 76 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | W 63 46 62 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 76 64 | L 46 57 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 36 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–94 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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