Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Francesco Maestrelli have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Francavilla Challenger in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 2 sets to Maestrelli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexis Galarneau won at Dublin Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 21/37 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 28/65 | 40% | 21/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 13/36 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 22/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 14/25 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 1, Maestrelli 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
⚙️ Grinder
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Dublin Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
May 21, 2022
Francavilla Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | +21.2% | -59.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.61u | -4.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Galarneau's 40%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | W 36 76 62 |
| Stefano Napolitano | L 26 76 46 | W 63 76 |
| Emil Ruusuvuori | W 76 62 | W 64 36 76 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 46 63 46 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dino Prizmic
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Vit Kopriva
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Tyler Zink
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kaichi Uchida
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jacob Fearnley
Newport Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–65 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 44% |
| Sets won | 54% | 44% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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