Alexey Aleshchev vs Kerem YilmazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Baku
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 2:35 AM ET
Book odds
Alexey Aleshchev and Kerem Yilmaz meet in the 1st Round of the M15 Baku on hard court on September 29. Aleshchev, ranked 1492, comes off a loss and has won two of his last five matches. Yilmaz sits at 913 and has lost his last four straight.
The two have never faced each other. Both players have struggled recently against overlapping opponents; Aleshchev lost to Kazuki Nakajima while Yilmaz defeated him, but each fell to Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine, Ergi Kirkin, Marek Gengel, and Romain Faucon. On hard courts over a recent sample, Aleshchev stands at 11-9 while Yilmaz sits at 10-10.
Aleshchev operates as a consistent baseline grinder who compounds pressure through rallies; he will need to sustain his intensity across sets and weather the early aggression Yilmaz typically brings. Yilmaz thrives on physicality and forward movement, but his recent form has been inconsistent and he will require sharper execution against a patient opponent who does not hand away points.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aleshchev | Yilmaz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexey Aleshchev | Kerem Yilmaz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 7/29 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 13% | 1/8 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aleshchev
⚙️ Grinder
Yilmaz
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 250 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Aleshchev and Yilmaz have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aleshchev | Yilmaz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexey Aleshchev | Kerem Yilmaz | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aleshchev | Yilmaz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.53 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -62.0% | +1.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | +0.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aleshchev | Yilmaz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | EGY |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yilmaz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (20% vs Aleshchev's 10%).
| Opponent | Aleshchev | Yilmaz |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Skvortcov | L 57 57 | W 62 62 |
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | L 16 26 | L 62 26 36 |
| Keshav Chopra | L 06 46 | L 46 16 |
| Romain Faucon | L 46 36 | L 46 57 |
| Romain Faucon | L 46 36 | L 46 57 |
| Marek Gengel | L 36 57 | L 36 16 |
| Ognjen Milic | L 26 46 | L 26 06 |
| Yanki Erel | L 26 06 | L 46 26 |
| Ergi Kirkin | L 36 26 | L 26 36 |
| Saveliy Ivanov | W 75 75 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Skvortcov
M15 Baku · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Omer Eshkol Bruck
M15 Baku · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Karol Filar
M15 Poprad · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Peter Zavacky
M15 Poprad · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ferdinand Kloesters
M15 Wels · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Hiiro Sakamoto
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Kenta Kawada
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Jun Hao Luo
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Oscar Brown
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Egor Agafonov
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marat Salbiev
M15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 2
Vesa Ahti
M15 Turku · 1st Round
Aug 11
Koki Matsuda
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alec Deckers
Istanbul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Maxim Zhukov
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–57 matches
| Metric | Aleshchev | Yilmaz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 47% |
| Sets won | 44% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |