Alexandre Aubriot vs Pavlos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Heraklion
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.80 or longer, Pavlos Tsitsipas has won 4 of 16 (25%). That is level with the 25% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alexandre Aubriot meets Pavlos Tsitsipas in the 1st Round of the M15 Heraklion on October 21, 2026. The match takes place on hard court between two players ranked outside the top 1000, with Aubriot at 864 and Tsitsipas at 1004.
This is the first career meeting between Aubriot and Tsitsipas. Aubriot has won 3 of his last 5 matches but sits on a two-match losing streak after 21 days away from competition. Tsitsipas has played five matches in the past two weeks, posting a 3-2 record in that stretch, though his form over ten matches stands at 4-6.
Aubriot operates as a counterpuncher who reads the court well off the baseline. Tsitsipas prefers to dictate from the back, where he holds a 60% win rate on hard court compared to Aubriot's 55%. Aubriot's challenge will be steadying his rhythm after time off, while Tsitsipas needs to convert his heavier baseline play into consistent point construction against a defensive style.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aubriot | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Aubriot | Pavlos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 42% | 20/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 19/28 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aubriot
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsitsipas
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 889 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavlos Tsitsipas.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Aubriot and Tsitsipas have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aubriot | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Aubriot | Pavlos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aubriot | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 3.07 |
| ROI % | +14.4% | +18.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.59u | +3.33u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aubriot | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Aubriot and Tsitsipas posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Aubriot | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Heidlmair | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Filip Krolo
M15 Sibenik · 1st Round
Sep 30
Marko Topo
M25 Zlatibor · Semifinals
Sep 19
George Lazarov
M25 Zlatibor · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Nico Hipfl
M25 Zlatibor · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Gilberto Ravasio
M25 Zlatibor · 1st Round
Sep 17
Adam Gabor Szoke
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Dmitry Popko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Sep 5
Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Jose Dominguez Alonso
M15 Heraklion · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 13
Joao Mendes
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Erik Johansson
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicholas Campbell
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nikita Mashtakov
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Tiago Pereira
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–50 matches
| Metric | Aubriot | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 38% |
| Sets won | 50% | 41% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |