Alexander Wagner vs Nikita MashtakovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇹Alexander Wagner
#1201 · 20 yrs · U
6w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇺🇦Nikita Mashtakov
#513 · 27 yrs · R
5TitleAlexander Wagner and Nikita Mashtakov have met 1 time since 2026; Nikita Mashtakov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Wagner has taken 1 sets to Mashtakov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nikita Mashtakov won at M15 Mistelbach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wagner | Mashtakov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Wagner | Nikita Mashtakov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 16/19 | 69% | 25/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 11/23 | 13% | 2/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 25% | 13/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 1/7 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wagner 0, Mashtakov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wagner
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mashtakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nikita Mashtakov.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
M15 Mistelbach
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wagner | Mashtakov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Wagner | Nikita Mashtakov | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 68% | 17/25 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 12% | 3/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 21–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.24 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | +16.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | +4.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mashtakov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wagner's 50%).
| Opponent | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| Matevz Krajnc | W 62 61 | W 26 63 64 |
| Marcel Zielinski | L 06 63 16 | W 16 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Norbert Gombos
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Adam Soukup
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Tomas Lanik
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marcel Zielinski
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Vitek Horak
M15 Bielsko Biala · 1st Round
Aug 5
Noah Lopez
M15 Sibenik · Final
Oct 4
Charles Bertimon
M15 Sibenik · Semifinals
Oct 3
Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Sibenik · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Matthias Ujvary
M15 Sibenik · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jonas Gundacker
M15 Sibenik · 1st Round
Sep 29
Maxim Mrva
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Alexander Weis
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 71% |
| Sets won | 50% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wagner | Mashtakov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.