Alexander Wagner vs Marcel ZielinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇹Alexander Wagner
#1187 · 19 yrs · U
31 meeting · sets 1–2
🇵🇱Marcel Zielinski
#533 · 25 yrs · R
TitleAlexander Wagner and Marcel Zielinski have met 1 time since 2026; Marcel Zielinski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Wagner has taken 1 sets to Zielinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marcel Zielinski won at M15 Bielsko Biala (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wagner | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Wagner | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 59% | 30/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 36% | 27/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 2/6 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 70% | 30/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wagner 0, Zielinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wagner
⚔️ The Gladiator
Zielinski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Wagner and Marcel Zielinski are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
M15 Bielsko Biala
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wagner | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Wagner | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 79% | 26/33 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 36% | 12/33 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 12% | 4/33 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/33 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/33 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/33 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 26–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.52 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +13.4% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.87u | +0.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 13 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POL → AUT | POL → GER → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zielinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Wagner's 20%).
| Opponent | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Mashtakov | L 67 64 06 | L 61 46 57 |
| Andrea Motta | W 64 63 | W 61 60 |
| Marlon Vankan | L 26 26 | L 67 06 |
| Ryan Nijboer | L 63 46 06 | W 62 46 63 |
| Cezar Cretu | L 57 36 | W 36 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Adam Soukup
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Tomas Lanik
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marcel Zielinski
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Marlon Vankan
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Andrej Martin
M25 Ollersbach · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alen Mujakic
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Janis Graski
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Felix Fischer
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Felix Fischer
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–75 matches
| Metric | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 68% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wagner | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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