Alexander Vasilev vs Mattia NannelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Vasilev and Mattia Nannelli have met 1 time since 2026; Mattia Nannelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Vasilev has taken 0 sets to Nannelli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Nannelli won at M15 Burgas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vasilev | Nannelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Vasilev | Mattia Nannelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 11% | 2/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 9/43 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vasilev 0, Nannelli 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vasilev
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nannelli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Vasilev and Mattia Nannelli are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 8, 2026
M15 Burgas
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vasilev | Nannelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Vasilev | Mattia Nannelli | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.90 |
| ROI % | -45.3% | +92.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.44u | +6.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vasilev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nannelli's 33%).
| Opponent | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| George Lazarov | W | L 06 16 |
| Mihailo Savic | W 57 63 76 | W 76 46 60 |
| Sandro Kopp | L 16 57 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Nannelli
M15 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mihail Ivanov
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Felix Gill
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
M25 Plaisir · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Luc Fomba
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Herve Antchandie
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 9
Juan Manuel La Serna
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Marat Sharipov
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
George Lazarov
M15 Burgas · Final
Oct 11
Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Burgas · Semifinals
Oct 10
Aleksandar Tolev
M15 Burgas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alexander Vasilev
M15 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Rodion Chetverikov
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Paolini
M15 Burgas · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
David Tixhon
M15 Telavi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–43 matches
| Metric | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 38% |
| Sets won | 55% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vasilev | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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