Alexander Kotzen vs Luis Carlos AlvarezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Alexander Kotzen
#1146 · 26 yrs · R
20w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇲🇽Luis Carlos Alvarez
#759 · 21 yrs · R
8w4Alexander Kotzen and Luis Carlos Alvarez have met 1 time since 2025; Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kotzen has taken 1 sets to Alvarez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luis Carlos Alvarez won at M15 Fayetteville 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kotzen | Carlos Alvarez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Kotzen | Luis Carlos Alvarez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 8/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 11/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 2/5 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kotzen 0, Carlos Alvarez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotzen
🎯 Baseliner
Alvarez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 154 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Kotzen.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 19, 2025
M15 Fayetteville 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotzen | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.37 |
| ROI % | - | -20.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexis Gurmendi
M15 Orlando · 1st Round
Apr 15
Jerrid Gaines
M15 Boca Raton · Round of 32
Apr 8
Jerrid Gaines Jr
M15 Boca Raton · 1st Round
Apr 8
Quinn Vandecasteele
M25 Winston-Salem 2 · Quarterfinals
Jan 16
Tristan McCormick
M25 Winston-Salem 2 · 2nd Round
Jan 15
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Winston-Salem 2 · 1st Round
Jan 14
Lucas Marionneau
M25 Austin 1 · 1st Round
Nov 19
Henry Searle
M25 Columbus 1 · 2nd Round
Nov 13
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Valerio Aboian
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Felipe Rivadeneira
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Asahi Harazaki
M25 Norman 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville 1 · Final
Sep 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–25 matches
| Metric | Kotzen | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kotzen | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kotzen | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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