Alexander Chang vs Renta TokudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Chang and Renta Tokuda have met 1 time since 2025; Renta Tokuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chang has taken 0 sets to Tokuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Renta Tokuda won at M25 Bali (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Tokuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Chang | Renta Tokuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 2/3 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 77% | 17/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Tokuda 1).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2025
M25 Bali
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | +53.3% | -38.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.20u | -1.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Shanker Heisnam
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 29
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Jul 25
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Max Basing
M25 Bali · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Grigoriy Lomakin
M25 Bali · Round of 16
Sep 4
Alexander Rozin
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Ognjen Milic
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 27
Marat Sharipov
Gwangju Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Woobin Shin
Gwangju Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–35 matches
| Metric | Chang | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 51% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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