Alexander Chang vs Reece FalckPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Chang and Reece Falck have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Chang leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chang has taken 2 sets to Falck's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Chang won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Falck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Chang | Reece Falck | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 7/16 | 32% | 17/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Falck 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
💥 Big Hitter
Falck
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Chang.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Falck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Chang | Reece Falck | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Falck |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | +25.6% | -78.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.59u | -3.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Chang and Falck posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Chang | Falck |
|---|---|---|
| Valerio Bracci | W 60 75 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Simone Macchione
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Filippo Alfano
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Valerio Bracci
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Karan Singh
M15 Bali · Final
Sep 13
Nathan Anthony Barki
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Sep 12
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Leo Borg
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ethan Cook
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Oct 6
Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Darwin · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Luca Connaughton
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 8
Blake Ellis
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Emon Van Loben Sels
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Alejandro Hayen
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–53 matches
| Metric | Chang | Falck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 49% |
| Sets won | 64% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Falck |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Falck |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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