Alexander Chang vs Luis Carlos Alvarez ValdesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 3:35 AM ET
Alexander Chang and Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes meet next at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 12 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Chang | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 7/16 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Chang and Valdes have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Chang | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +25.6% | -43.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.59u | -3.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Simone Macchione
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Filippo Alfano
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Valerio Bracci
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Karan Singh
M15 Bali · Final
Sep 13
Nathan Anthony Barki
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Sep 12
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Leo Borg
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Rio Noguchi
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–16 matches
| Metric | Chang | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 54% |
| Sets won | 64% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |