Alexander Chang vs Keisuke SaitohPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
πΊπΈAlexander Chang
Unranked
5w1 meeting Β· sets 2β0
π―π΅Keisuke Saitoh
#668 Β· 25 yrs Β· L
3Alexander Chang and Keisuke Saitoh have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Chang leads 1β0. Across all meetings Chang has taken 2 sets to Saitoh's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Chang won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Chang | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 2/3 | 13% | 3/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 25% | 16/64 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 97% | 34/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 1, Saitoh 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Chang | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β2 | 4β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +53.3% | -24.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.20u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 3 |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | β | INA β TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Chang and Saitoh posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Sanhui Shin | W 64 62 | W 67 60 75 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 36 63 67 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Bali Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Shanker Heisnam
M15 Bali Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali Β· 1st Round
Jul 22
Max Basing
M25 Bali Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Grigoriy Lomakin
M25 Bali Β· Round of 16
Sep 4
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei Β· 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 8β64 matches
| Metric | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 63% |
| Sets won | 63% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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