Alexander Binda vs Lucas PoullainPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Binda and Lucas Poullain have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Poullain leads 1–0. Across all meetings Binda has taken 0 sets to Poullain's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Poullain won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Binda | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Binda | Lucas Poullain | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 23/71 | 26% | 18/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 20/35 | 60% | 28/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 84% | 31/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Binda 0, Poullain 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Binda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Binda | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Binda | Lucas Poullain | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -61.2% | +21.6% |
| Units P/L | -6.73u | +3.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 10 |
| Distance | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km | 1,558 mi · 2,507 km |
| Route | TUR → KAZ | TUR → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poullain has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Binda's 33%).
| Opponent | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Durasovic | L 36 36 | W 64 62 |
| Vadym Ursu | L 57 64 16 | W 76 62 |
| Varun Dhandhukia | W 61 60 | W 26 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Lucas Poullain
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Mert Naci Turker
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Adrian Andreev
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons challenger
Jul 13
Aaron Gil Garcia
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
David Poljak
Iasi challenger
Jul 5
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Michael Geerts
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Viktor Durasovic
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Max Basing
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–71 matches
| Metric | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Binda | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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