Alexander Binda vs Kosuke OguraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Binda and Kosuke Ogura have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Binda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Binda has taken 2 sets to Ogura's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Binda won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Binda | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Binda | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 33/46 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 24/80 | 28% | 21/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 25/39 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 18/38 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 93% | 28/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Binda 0, Ogura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Binda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ogura
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 14, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Binda | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Binda | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.60 | 3.17 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Binda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ogura's 50%).
| Opponent | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 67 26 | L 36 26 |
| Mikalai Haliak | W 63 61 | W |
| Varun Dhandhukia | W 61 60 | W 61 63 |
| Lorenzo Lorusso | W | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Sidharth Rawat
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jesse Flores
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yunseong Chung
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Minghui Zhang
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Daisuke Sumizawa
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Seongchan Hong
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Robin Catry
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–80 matches
| Metric | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 46% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Binda | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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