Alexander Binda vs Kaito UesugiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Binda and Kaito Uesugi have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Binda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Binda has taken 2 sets to Uesugi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Binda won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Binda | Uesugi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Binda | Kaito Uesugi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 33/46 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 24/80 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 25/39 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 18/38 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Binda 1, Uesugi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Binda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Uesugi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Binda and Kaito Uesugi are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Binda | Uesugi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.60 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | -54.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -1.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Binda | Uesugi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Sidharth Rawat
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jesse Flores
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yunseong Chung
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Yuquan Jin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Koki Matsuda
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Luca Potenza
Targu Mures Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Maxime Janvier
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Yuta Kikuchi
Yokohama · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Uisung Park
Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–80 matches
| Metric | Binda | Uesugi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 20% |
| Sets won | 56% | 29% |
| Games won | 53% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Binda | Uesugi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Binda | Uesugi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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