Alexander Binda vs Aoran WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Binda and Aoran Wang have met 2 times since 2025; Alexander Binda leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou (Huangpu) in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Binda leads 2–0. Binda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Binda has taken 4 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Binda won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Binda | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Binda | Aoran Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 33/46 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 8% | 1/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 24/80 | 10% | 2/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 25/39 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 18/38 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Binda 2, Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Binda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aoran Wang.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 7, 2025
Guangzhou (Huangpu)
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.60 | 3.53 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Binda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Wang's 0%).
| Opponent | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 46 76 64 | L |
| Khumoun Sultanov | L 36 26 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Sidharth Rawat
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jesse Flores
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yunseong Chung
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Fajing Sun
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yaojie Zeng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Omar Jasika
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jaesung Choe
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Jaesung Choe
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Koki Matsuda
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–80 matches
| Metric | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 40% |
| Sets won | 56% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Binda | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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