Alexander Bernard vs Michael AntoniusPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bernard and Michael Antonius have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Rochester 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bernard has taken 2 sets to Antonius's 2. Their most recent meeting: Michael Antonius won at M15 Rochester (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bernard | Antonius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bernard | Michael Antonius | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 95% | 20/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bernard 1, Antonius 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bernard
🧱 The Wall
Antonius
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michael Antonius.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2026
M15 Rochester
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2025
M15 Rochester 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bernard | Antonius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bernard | Michael Antonius | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -11.9% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.83u | +1.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Dahlin
M15 Ann Arbor · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Gustavo Albieri
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matisse Farzam
M15 Ann Arbor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Alex Cairo
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Max Stenzer
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Iker Urribarrens Ramirez
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Tyler Bowers
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Keaton Hance
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Henry Searle
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M15 Rochester · Semifinals
Jul 19
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · Final
Jul 19
Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dillon Beckles
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–32 matches
| Metric | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 66% |
| Sets won | 41% | 61% |
| Games won | 45% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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