Alexander Bernard vs Michael AntoniusPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlexander Bernard
#1628 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
6w2 meetings Β· sets 2β2
πΊπΈMichael Antonius
#670 Β· 16 yrs
6wAlexander Bernard and Michael Antonius have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at M15 Rochester 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Bernard has taken 2 sets to Antonius's 2. Their most recent meeting: Michael Antonius won at M15 Rochester (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bernard | Antonius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bernard | Michael Antonius | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bernard 1, Antonius 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bernard
π§± The Wall
Antonius
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The πͺ Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs π§± The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michael Antonius.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2026
M15 Rochester
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2025
M15 Rochester 1
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1β5 | 4β0 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | -71.0% | +21.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.26u | +0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Ilija Palavestra
M15 Rochester Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vuk Radjenovic
Futures 2026
Jun 24
Vuk Radjenovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja Β· 1st Round
Jun 24
Vuk Radjenovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Vuk Radjenovic
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Aidan Kim
M25 Columbus 1 Β· 1st Round
Nov 12
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 16
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M15 Rochester Β· Semifinals
Jul 19
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester Β· Final
Jul 19
Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester Β· 1st Round
Jul 15
Andreja Petrovic
M15 Orange Park Β· Quarterfinals
May 1
Andreja Petrovic
M15 Orange Park FL Β· Quarterfinals
May 1
Kaylan Bigun
M15 Orange Park Β· 2nd Round
Apr 30
Evan Bynoe
M15 Orange Park Β· 1st Round
Apr 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 8β29 matches
| Metric | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 13% | 69% |
| Sets won | 26% | 63% |
| Games won | 37% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bernard | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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