Alex Rybakov vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 2 times since 2022; Alex Rybakov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakov leads 2–0. Rybakov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 4 sets to Kwiatkowski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Rybakov won at Winston-Salem Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 18/45 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🎾 All-Court
Kwiatkowski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
Winston-Salem Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2022
Washington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | - |
| ROI % | -19.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.79u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GBR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rybakov and Kwiatkowski posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | L 46 57 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Fares Zakaria
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Billy Blaydes
M25 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matthew Summers
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Charlie Robertson
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andre Ilagan
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Tung-Lin Wu
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Strong Kirchheimer
Winston-Salem · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Skander Mansouri
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–45 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 0% |
| Sets won | 47% | 11% |
| Games won | 49% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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