Alex Rybakov vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 2 times since 2022; Alex Rybakov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakov leads 2–0. Rybakov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 4 sets to Kwiatkowski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Rybakov won at Winston-Salem Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 15/25 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🏹 Frontrunner
Kwiatkowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
Winston-Salem Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2022
Washington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | -37.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rybakov and Kwiatkowski posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | L 46 57 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matthew Forbes
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Karue Sell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Dan Martin
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Elias Ymer
Phoenix Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–41 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 0% |
| Sets won | 46% | 11% |
| Games won | 49% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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