Alex Rybakov vs Luca StaeheliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Luca Staeheli have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Staeheli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 1 sets to Staeheli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Staeheli won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Staeheli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Luca Staeheli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 67% | 37/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 15/25 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 30% | 25/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 53% | 27/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 92% | 44/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 77% | 37/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 0, Staeheli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🏹 Frontrunner
Staeheli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Rybakov.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakov | Staeheli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Rybakov | Luca Staeheli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -37.6% | +25.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | +4.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Rybakov and Staeheli posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Kuzuhara | L 61 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Ioannis Xilas | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matthew Forbes
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Karue Sell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Dan Martin
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Oliver Okonkwo
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Rybakov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bruno Kuzuhara
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Erik Arutiunian
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sebastian Gorzny
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Maxwell Exsted
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–83 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 66% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Staeheli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.