Alex Rybakov vs Jacopo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Jacopo Berrettini have met 1 time since 2026; Alex Rybakov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Rybakov won at Hersonissos 1 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Jacopo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 15/25 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 0, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🏹 Frontrunner
Berrettini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 2, 2026
Hersonissos 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | -37.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matthew Forbes
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Karue Sell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Dan Martin
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Michele Ribecai
Barletta Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 2
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Split Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 23
Tom Gentzsch
Hersonissos 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Alex Rybakov
Hersonissos 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 2
Mark Lajal
St. Brieuc Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 24
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Tenerife 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Feb 11
Jacopo Vasami
Tenerife 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 9
Abedallah Shelbayh
Tenerife 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–41 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 35% |
| Sets won | 46% | 39% |
| Games won | 49% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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