Alex Molcan vs Stefano TravagliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Stefano Travaglia have met 4 times since 2022; Stefano Travaglia leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Travaglia leads 3–1. Travaglia has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 3 sets to Travaglia's 3. Their most recent meeting: Stefano Travaglia won at Zadar Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Travaglia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Travaglia
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefano Travaglia.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Zadar Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2026
Zadar Open
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 29, 2025
Liberec Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 5, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +7.4% | -76.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -5.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Molcan and Travaglia posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | L 63 26 36 | W 64 62 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 06 63 64 | L 16 76 36 |
| Hynek Barton | W 63 62 | W 61 63 |
| Milos Karol | W 63 64 | W 64 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 36 57 | L 36 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Stefano Napolitano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–63 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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