Alex Molcan vs Federico CinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 7 · 2:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.73 or shorter, Alex Molcan has won 61 of 102 (60%). That is level with the 62% the price implied.
At 2.10 or longer, Federico Cina has won 12 of 23 (52%). The price implied 39%, so Federico Cina has beaten it by 13 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Federico Cina meets Alex Molcan in the 1st Round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 7, playing on hard court. Cina arrives ranked 147th while Molcan sits at 84th. The two have never faced each other.
Cina has won 4 of his last 5 matches and holds a 2-match winning streak after playing eight times in the past 14 days. Molcan has won 3 of 5 recently but lost his most recent outing and has played only four matches in the same span. Against common opponents, results have split: Cina defeated Felix Gill while Molcan fell to him, though Molcan beat Alexandre Muller and Vitaliy Sachko in matchups where Cina lost.
On hard court, Federico Cina has converted 65% of his matches into wins. Alex Molcan sits at 50% on the surface. Cina plays as an aggressive baseline player who builds points through consistent pace and positioning, thriving when he dictates rallies early. Molcan operates as a reactive player who prefers to construct points from deeper in the court and capitalize on opponent mistakes. Cina will need to sustain his aggressive rhythm while fresh, while Molcan must rely on defensive structure and court sense to slow the pace and draw errors.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Cina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Federico Cina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 14/26 | 44% | 22/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 82% | 32/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 64% | 25/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cina
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 918 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Molcan and Cina have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Cina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Federico Cina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 13–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -19.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.03u | -4.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 10 |
| Distance | 5,306 mi · 8,539 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | AUT → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Molcan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Cina's 44%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 64 | L 67 16 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 63 46 36 | L 76 26 67 |
| Francesco Forti | W 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 36 61 64 | L 26 64 16 |
| Milos Karol | W 63 64 | W 76 57 64 |
| Felix Gill | L 62 57 67 | W 63 57 76 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 64 61 | W 64 63 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 64 60 | L 76 36 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 16 16 | L 64 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Benjamin Bonzi
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elias Ymer
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
James McCabe
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–67 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |