Alex Lawson vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Lawson and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 1 time since 2024; Quinn Vandecasteele leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lawson has taken 0 sets to Vandecasteele's 2. Their most recent meeting: Quinn Vandecasteele won at Little Rock (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lawson | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Lawson | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 79% | 33/42 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 41% | 14/34 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 30% | 23/76 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 53% | 23/43 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 18/27 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 55% | 12/22 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 82% | 36/44 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 75% | 33/44 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lawson 0, Vandecasteele 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lawson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vandecasteele
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2024
Little Rock
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lawson | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.86 |
| ROI % | - | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lawson | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quinn Vandecasteele
Little Rock · 1st Round Qualifying
May 26
Cannon Kingsley
Knoxville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 5
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Seville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 4
Pavel Kotov
Phoenix · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 13
Shintaro Mochizuki
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 30
Remy Bertola
Tunis · 1st Round Qualifying
May 15
Evan Zhu
Savannah · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 24
Alexis Galarneau
Sarasota · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 10
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniil Ostapenkov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Noah Zamora
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Li Tu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–76 matches
| Metric | Lawson | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 55% |
| Sets won | - | 56% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lawson | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lawson | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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