Alex Lawson vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Lawson and Pavel Kotov have met 1 time since 2023; Pavel Kotov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lawson has taken 0 sets to Kotov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Phoenix (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lawson | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Lawson | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 56% | 18/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 42% | 5/12 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 43% | 19/44 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 45% | 13/29 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 77% | 10/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 76% | 19/25 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 24/27 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 67% | 18/27 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lawson 0, Kotov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lawson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Kotov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 13, 2023
Phoenix
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lawson | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.17 |
| ROI % | - | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lawson | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 11 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quinn Vandecasteele
Little Rock · 1st Round Qualifying
May 26
Cannon Kingsley
Knoxville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 5
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Seville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 4
Pavel Kotov
Phoenix · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 13
Shintaro Mochizuki
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 30
Remy Bertola
Tunis · 1st Round Qualifying
May 15
Evan Zhu
Savannah · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 24
Alexis Galarneau
Sarasota · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 10
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Lawson | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 73% |
| Sets won | - | 64% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lawson | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lawson | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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