Alex Chang vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
πΊπΈAlex Chang
#1288 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
8w1 meeting Β· sets 1β2
π―π΅Koki Matsuda
#479 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
3Alex Chang and Koki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2025; Koki Matsuda leads 1β0. Across all meetings Chang has taken 1 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Koki Matsuda won at M15 Bali 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Chang | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | 79% | 31/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 2/5 | 30% | 18/61 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 1/2 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 85% | 35/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Matsuda 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 31, 2025
M15 Bali 1
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0β2 | 12β9 |
| Avg odds | 3.55 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -12.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -2.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 3 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 5 |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | β | TUR β KAZ β TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jack Anthrop
M15 Rancho Santa Fe Β· 1st Round
Jul 8
Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego Β· 1st Round
Jul 1
Jacob Brumm
Fairfield Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Max Basing
M25 Bali 3 Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Grigoriy Lomakin
M25 Bali 3 Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Renta Tokuda
M25 Bali 2 Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Bali 1 Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Gunawan Trismuwantara
M25 Bali 1 Β· 1st Round
Aug 6
Chih-Jen Ho
M25 Taipei Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 10
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Paul Inchauspe
Istanbul Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kerem Yilmaz
Istanbul Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriel Debru
Samsun Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Colin Sinclair
Samsun Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 29
Karan Singh
Samsun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 5β62 matches
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 65% |
| Sets won | 33% | 62% |
| Games won | 43% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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