Alex Barrena vs Gustavo HeidePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Barrena and Gustavo Heide have met 1 time since 2026; Gustavo Heide leads 1–0. Across all meetings Barrena has taken 0 sets to Heide's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gustavo Heide won at Milan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Barrena | Heide | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Barrena | Gustavo Heide | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 78% | 43/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 26% | 20/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 14/25 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 8/20 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 94% | 50/53 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 81% | 43/53 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Barrena 0, Heide 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Barrena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Heide
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gustavo Heide.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Milan Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Barrena | Heide | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Barrena | Gustavo Heide | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +7.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.53u | +1.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 636 mi · 1,024 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GER → ITA | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Heide has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Barrena's 60%).
| Opponent | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Maxim Mrva | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Jan Choinski | L 36 26 | W 76 36 64 |
| Johan Nikles | W 36 63 63 | W 62 64 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 57 61 64 | L 36 57 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L 36 63 36 | W 62 61 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 26 | W 64 16 61 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | W 64 63 | W 62 75 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 62 67 63 | W 63 64 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | W 64 76 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxim Mrva
Todi Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Georgii Kravchenko
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Henri Squire
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Timofey Skatov
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jan Choinski
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Johan Nikles
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Niels Visker
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Harold Mayot
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Umut Akkoyun
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Titouan Droguet
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Cezar Cretu
Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
David Poljak
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Marco Cecchinato
Milan Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Enrico Dalla Valle
Milan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Alex Barrena
Milan Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–77 matches
| Metric | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 71% |
| Sets won | 47% | 68% |
| Games won | 49% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Barrena | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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