Alessandro Spadola vs Mattia NannelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alessandro Spadola and Mattia Nannelli have met 1 time since 2026; Alessandro Spadola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Spadola has taken 2 sets to Nannelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alessandro Spadola won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Spadola | Nannelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alessandro Spadola | Mattia Nannelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 9/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 14/32 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 4/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Spadola 1, Nannelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Spadola
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nannelli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Alessandro Spadola and Mattia Nannelli are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 2, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Spadola | Nannelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alessandro Spadola | Mattia Nannelli | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Spadola | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 2.90 |
| ROI % | -33.4% | +92.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | +6.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Spadola has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nannelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Spadola | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriele Deriu | W 64 60 | W 76 46 60 |
| Mariano Tammaro | W 67 62 76 | L 46 64 911 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Dimitar Kisimov
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Simone Massucco
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Lesa · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Gabriele Deriu
M25 Lesa · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Vincent Reisach
M15 Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Younes Lalami Laaroussi
M15 Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 12
George Lazarov
M15 Burgas · Final
Oct 11
Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Burgas · Semifinals
Oct 10
Aleksandar Tolev
M15 Burgas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alexander Vasilev
M15 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Rodion Chetverikov
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Paolini
M15 Burgas · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
David Tixhon
M15 Telavi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–32 matches
| Metric | Spadola | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 38% |
| Sets won | 51% | 40% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Spadola | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Spadola | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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